Stefan Merten, founder of Oekonux [1] project, is going to give a presentation at FrOSCon [2] — the Free and Open Source Conference in Sankt Augustin, Germany, 23th – 24th of august. The presentation titled »The (Open Source) World in 2020 — A History Based Look into the Future« [3] is already online [4]. Stefan’s style is to cut down complex analysis to handy statements, where he draws his conclusions from.
Here are the conclusions giving a good overview of the talk:
- 1984 — Very beginnings may be hard to notice
- 1996 — Good ideas grow because they are useful to people
- 2008 — Basic principles are strong enough to spread out
- First basic principle: Selbstentfaltung — Something what individual and society wants
- Second basic principle: Openness — Technology may make way for new societal phenomenons
- A new mode of production emerges — Something wrong with classic economy 😉
- Power from new principles — Oekonux thesis: New mode of production => new society
- Five-step model of development — There is hope!
- Capitalism as a successful germ form: 200 years back — A new mode of production as a germ form can take over
- A peek into the future — Vertical expansion is quite sure — Horizontal expansion depends on many aspects
- Deeper embedding — More won’t happen in 12 years
Please read the details [3] (aka bullet points).
Conclusion of the conclusions of the bullet point list: Qualitatively, in 2020 we have the same situation as in 2008.